Dynasty rookie rankings, ranked by the chance he hits
Most rookie rankings are an opinion in a list. These rank each rookie by a number: his chance of a top-24 season in his first three years (top-12 for quarterbacks and tight ends), from what players drafted where he was, at his age, have done since 2000.
The board below is live. Tap a rookie to see why he ranks where he does.
A grade you can check, not a take
- The Seer grade
- The chance of a top-24 season in his first three (quarterbacks and tight ends: top-12). The lighter part of each bar is his likely range, and Elite is the chance of a top-12 season.
- Why he ranks there
- Tap a row: it starts from a typical prospect at his position, then shows how much his draft slot and his age moved him.
- It updates with the season
- After 8 games a rookie’s own season counts too. Tight ends are the exception: their rookie year didn’t predict their later seasons.
- Tested, not tuned to look good
- The grade was tested on every draft class since 2008 using only the classes before it. The Profile lab shows the history behind it.
- Next year’s class
- Every draft-eligible college quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end, ordered by PPR points per game, with a production rank at his position. A ranking, not a forecast: there is no draft slot yet.
- Your own board
- Give any rookie your own tier and sort by it. The Draft Assistant can use your board for its best available during your rookie draft.
From your username to an answer
- 1Read the board: the grade is the chance he becomes a starter you keep.
- 2Tap any rookie for the reasons, and his page for his college career.
- 3Switch to next year’s class to scout ahead of your rookie draft.
- 4Open your Sleeper league to see who is still on the board in your draft, and what each pick is worth.
Questions
How are these dynasty rookie rankings made?
Each rookie is ranked by the Seer grade: his chance of a top-24 season in his first three years (top-12 for quarterbacks and tight ends), worked out from players drafted at his slot and age since 2000. It is a statistical model, not a writer’s list.
Are the rankings for superflex or 1QB leagues?
The grade is a hit chance at each position, so it reads the same in both. What changes with your format is the price: in your own Sleeper league, Dynasty Seer reprices every rookie and pick for superflex, TE premium and your scoring.
How accurate is the grade?
It was tested on every draft class since 2008 using only the classes that came before, and the chances it gave matched how often those players hit. The page explains the test and shows the numbers.
When do the rankings update?
The board follows the season. After a rookie has played 8 games, his own production counts alongside his draft slot and age.
Can I see next year’s rookie class?
Yes. The next two college classes are listed with production ranks, ages, breakout ages for receivers and each player’s college career. There is no grade until the NFL draft gives them a slot.
Is it free?
Yes. The rookie board, the college classes and each player’s page are free to read without an account.
See who is still on the board in your league
The Draft Assistant reads your Sleeper rookie draft as it happens. Try it in the demo league, with made-up names and no sign-in.
Values by Dynasty Dealer · League data from Sleeper · Not affiliated with Sleeper